profit and loss analysis The average interest rate on fixed-rate bonds has also increased. According to data firm Moneyfacts, the two-year average bond rate has risen by 41 percentage points, while the average price of three-year bonds has risen by 32 percentage points, as shown below. "We are concerned that if the UK decides to leave, it is likely to lead to a weaker pound, higher inflation, lower disposable income and less investment," she said. This was in October, when the recession caused sterling to fall. But he feels that the pound now reflects post-recession levels, and there is no reason for prices to fall further. He also estimated that the UK recession might end and that sterling could rise. His data have also shown that the price drop has stopped, and he sees it as a signal that price increases will begin. So he decided to buy the pound.