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That does not stop Mr Draghi from warning that inflation is still being affected by a sluggish wage growth, which is now much slower than the "post-recession recovery". 1. Industrial age In general, us interest rates fall and the dollar weakens. Us interest rates rise and dollar trends favour. A change in the price of U.S. Treasury bills, especially long-term Treasury bills, can help to predict the direction of the U.S. dollar. If investors think the us inflation is under the control, then under the existing Treasury bonds interest rate to attract, especially short-term Treasury bills, will attract investors, bond prices to rise. Keynes argued that savings and investment were two interdependent variables, not two independent variables.